RESTORE: REalistic forecaSTing, cOntrol and pREparedness for coming COVID-19 waves

  • Barbé, Kurt (Administrative Promotor)
  • Putman, Koen (Co-Promotor)
  • Hens, Niel (Co-Promotor)
  • Baetens, Jan (Co-Promotor)
  • Nopens, Ingmar (Co-Promotor)
  • Abrams , Steven (Co-Promotor)
  • Pien, Karen (Co-Promotor)
  • De Ridder, Mark (Co-Promotor)

Project Details


Over the following months Belgian society will be asked to adapt its behavior in order to keep the COVID-19 outbreak under control and not to jeopardise our healthcare system. This calls for an expertbased policy that is supported by accurate medium-term model forecasts on the further COVID-19 progression to assess the impacts of possible control and containment measures.
For that purpose, we will start from established population-based SEIR-models and extend these to account for age- and space-dependent disease dynamics,
the stochasticity intrinsic to disease spread and hospital bed capacity.

These extended models will be complemented with a socioeconomic model to quantify the effects of measures on consumption, labor supply and economic activity. Finally, a controller will be developed that interacts with the aforementioned models to identify the optimal set of control and mitigation measures. The extended and holistic SEIR modeling framework offers a solid basis for providing Belgian healthcare institutions and policy makers with
more accurate predictions. Currently, the consortium already provides short-term forecasts to policy makers, and hence it has all connections and simple models in place to guarantee a swift delivery of improved tools.
Short title or EU acronymRESTORE
Effective start/end date22/05/2021/05/21


  • Covid 19

Flemish discipline codes

  • Medical informatics