Abstract
The sensitivity of several water resource components to environmental change is crucial to water managers. Water resource sensitivity studies are therefore required to assess how hydrological regimes will respond to environmental change. As a frst attempt in the Upper Nile, this study explores statistical techniques to downscale climate projections with particular emphasis on rainfall simulation for the Kyoga basin, using Generalised Linear Models (GLMs). Despite noticeable bias in predicting the historical climate, the study results reveal that a warmer climate will lead to a basin-wide increase in precipitation and subsequent increase in stream fows for the Mpologoma basin, within the upper Nile.
| Original language | English |
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| Title of host publication | Modelling for Environment's Sake |
| Subtitle of host publication | Proceedings of the 5th Biennial Conference of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society, iEMSs 2010 |
| Pages | 2096-2105 |
| Number of pages | 10 |
| Volume | 3 |
| Publication status | Published - 1 Dec 2010 |
| Event | 5th Biennial Conference of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society: Modelling for Environment's Sake, iEMSs 2010 - Ottawa, ON, Canada Duration: 5 Jul 2010 → 8 Jul 2010 |
Conference
| Conference | 5th Biennial Conference of the International Environmental Modelling and Software Society: Modelling for Environment's Sake, iEMSs 2010 |
|---|---|
| Country/Territory | Canada |
| City | Ottawa, ON |
| Period | 5/07/10 → 8/07/10 |
Keywords
- Climate change
- Hydrological sensitivity analysis
- Statistical downscaling