Abstract
Background: Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is a well-recognized risk factor for premature death. However, evidence on which PM2.5 components are most relevant is unclear. Methods: We evaluated the associations between mortality and long-term exposure to eight PM2.5 elemental components [copper (Cu), iron (Fe), zinc (Zn), sulfur (S), nickel (Ni), vanadium (V), silicon (Si), and potassium (K)]. Studied outcomes included death from diabetes, chronic kidney disease (CKD), dementia, and psychiatric disorders as well as all-natural causes, cardiovascular disease (CVD), respiratory diseases (RD), and lung cancer. We followed all residents in Denmark (aged ≥30 years) from January 1, 2000 to December 31, 2017. We used European-wide land-use regression models at a 100 × 100 m scale to estimate the residential annual mean levels of exposure to PM2.5 components. The models were developed with supervised linear regression (SLR) and random forest (RF). The associations were evaluated by Cox proportional hazard models adjusting for individual- and area-level socioeconomic factors and total PM2.5 mass. Results: Of 3,081,244 individuals, we observed 803,373 death from natural causes during follow-up. We found significant positive associations between all-natural mortality with Si and K from both exposure modeling approaches (hazard ratios; 95% confidence intervals per interquartile range increase): SLR-Si (1.04; 1.03–1.05), RF-Si (1.01; 1.00–1.02), SLR-K (1.03; 1.02–1.04), and RF-K (1.06; 1.05–1.07). Strong associations of K and Si were detected with most causes of mortality except CKD and K, and diabetes and Si (the strongest associations for psychiatric disorders mortality). In addition, Fe was relevant for mortality from RD, lung cancer, CKD, and psychiatric disorders; Zn with mortality from CKD, RD, and lung cancer, and; Ni and V with lung cancer mortality. Conclusions: We present novel results of the relevance of different PM2.5 components for different causes of death, with K and Si seeming to be most consistently associated with mortality in Denmark.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | 115552 |
| Number of pages | 11 |
| Journal | Environmental Research |
| Volume | 224 |
| Issue number | 115552 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 1 May 2023 |
Bibliographical note
Funding Information:The study presented here was performed under contract with the HEI. The HEI is an organization supported by the United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), United States (No. R-82811201 ) and certain motor vehicle and engine manufacturers. The results of this study do not necessarily reflect the views of HEI or its sponsors, nor do they necessarily reflect the views and policies of the EPA or motor vehicle and engine manufacturers.
Funding Information:
This work was supported by funding from the Health Effects Institute (HEI) Research Agreement (# 4954-RFA14-3/16-5-3 ), jointly funded by the United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) (Assistance Award No. R- 82,811,201 ) and certain motor vehicle and engine manufacturers, and by the Novo Nordisk Foundation Challenge Programme: Harnessing the Power of Big Data to Address the Societal Challenge of Aging (# NNF17OC0027812 ). The funders had no role in the design of the study; the collection, analysis, and interpretation of the data; the writing of the manuscript, and; the decision to submit the manuscript for publication.
Funding Information:
This work was supported by funding from the Health Effects Institute (HEI) Research Agreement (#4954-RFA14-3/16-5-3), jointly funded by the United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) (Assistance Award No. R- 82,811,201) and certain motor vehicle and engine manufacturers, and by the Novo Nordisk Foundation Challenge Programme: Harnessing the Power of Big Data to Address the Societal Challenge of Aging (#NNF17OC0027812). The funders had no role in the design of the study; the collection, analysis, and interpretation of the data; the writing of the manuscript, and; the decision to submit the manuscript for publication.The study presented here was performed under contract with the HEI. The HEI is an organization supported by the United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), United States (No. R-82811201) and certain motor vehicle and engine manufacturers. The results of this study do not necessarily reflect the views of HEI or its sponsors, nor do they necessarily reflect the views and policies of the EPA or motor vehicle and engine manufacturers.
Publisher Copyright:
© 2023
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