Mangrove Expansion Along Southeast U.S. in the 21st Century

Mangroves comprise a group of coastal wetland plants that grow on sheltered shorelines in tropical, subtropical, and some warm temperate latitudes. Most species produce propagules that can disperse via tidal, alongshore, and open-ocean currents over local-to-transoceanic scales.
In this study, we combine ensemble model forecasting of mangrove distribution, Lagrangian particle-tracking, hurricane data, and reported timing of propagule development and release data. Our goal is to project future mangrove expansion at the rapidly changing range limit in northeastern Florida.