Spatiotemporal Analysis of Water Quality and Optical Changes Induced by Contaminants in Lake Chinchaycocha Using Sentinel-2 and in Situ Data

Lake Chinchaycocha, Peru’s second-largest high-altitude lake and a Ramsar-designated wetland of international importance, is increasingly threatened by anthropogenic pollution and hydroclimatic shifts. This study integrates Sentinel-2 multispectral imagery with in situ water quality data from Peru’s National Water Observatory to assess spatiotemporal dynamics in 31 physicochemical parameters between 2018 and 2024. We evaluated 40 empirical algorithms developed globally for Sentinel-2 and tested their transferability to this ultraoligotrophic Andean system. The results revealed limited predictive accuracy, underscoring the need for localized calibration. Subsequently, we developed and validated site-specific models for ammoniacal nitrogen, electrical conductivity, major ions, and trace metals, achieving high predictive performance during the rainy season (R² up to 0.95). Notably, the study identifies consistent seasonal correlations—such as between total copper and ammoniacal nitrogen—and strong spectral responses in Band 1, linked to runoff dynamics. These findings highlight the potential of combining public monitoring data with remote sensing to enable scalable, cost-effective assessment of water quality in optically complex, high-Andean lakes. The study provides a replicable framework for integrating national datasets into operational monitoring and environmental policy.